Cuba Index Risk: 86 / 100
Classification: Very High Risk
Dimension Breakdown
| Dimension | Score | Assessment |
|---|---|---|
| Political Risk | 85 | Very High Risk |
| Macroeconomic Risk | 90 | Critical Risk |
| Regulatory / FDI | 83 | Very High Risk |
| Financial Risk | 96 | Critical Risk |
| Energy Risk | 95 | Critical Risk |
| Operational Risk | 76 | High Risk |
| Geopolitical Risk | 75 | High Risk |
Overall Interpretation
The score of 86/100 reflects an environment that is extremely challenging for Canadian interests in Cuba. The combination of:
- severe energy shortages
- structural economic deterioration
- fragile operational conditions
- the decline in tourism affects the inflow of foreign currency
- extreme financial risk
- increasing geopolitical pressures
creates a scenario where Canadian companies face significant risks in continuity, payments, logistics, and reputation. Canadian investors must remain vigilant to evolving macroeconomic and geopolitical conditions.
For a more detailed analysis of each of the categories in the risk matrix, I invite you to consult the latest update here:
Next Update
The next Cuba Risk Index update will be published in May 1st 2026 or before that date if major events occurred.
Cuba Risk Matrix 